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Red107
568320.4
418020.3
36056.6
Blue36
889619.3
529511.0
38768.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014105015010736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+51Teleop
+47Endgame
+71Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +51
14Coral scored#4
49Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
69Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
24Foul points0
107Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
56.60.7
50.349.6
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
red by 37.3
8896
#29
19.30.9
14.013.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
5683
#22
20.40.7
15.614.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 9.4
5295
#28
11.00.9
18.317.5
Auto2.3
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Third
4180
#13
20.30.7
21.420.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 12.1
3876
#34
8.20.9
11.710.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed