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Red68
304913.0
491548.0
298016.0
Blue53
292817.7
357417.2
830230.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8035020601001201406853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
36Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
68Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.0
36.636.6
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
red by 17.5
30.50.5
15.616.1
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Second
2980
#32
16.00.0
21.621.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
blue by 1.7
2928
#30
17.70.5
14.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Third
3049
#35
13.00.0
10.010.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 4.2
3574
#24
17.20.5
8.89.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed