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Red180
378630.2
358813.5
2910105.1
Blue39
83037.0
129419.1
321924.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12442010015020018039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+33Auto
+129Teleop
+141Endgame
+141Fouls
AutonomousRed +33
0Leave6
8Coral scored#0
39Coral points0
39Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +96
28Coral scored#5
101Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
125Total teleop29
Reef
16L4#2
9L3#1
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
41Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +141
0Foul points0
180Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.14.1
75.379.4
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 80.9
3219
#12
24.21.4
21.420.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Second
3786
#25
30.24.1
19.924.0
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6
red by 11.1
1294
#11
19.11.4
18.417.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
3588
#36
13.54.1
10.814.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
red by 6.5
8303
#33
7.01.4
10.89.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed