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Red114
824819.7
368144.9
48849.4
Blue103
241242.7
255733.2
805133.8
56%Model gave it44%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9589050150200114103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points25
30Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
68Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
114Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#17
49.41.6
45.346.9
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
red by 6.7
2412
#19
42.71.2
42.143.3
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Second
3681
#10
44.91.6
32.233.7
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
red by 11.1
33.81.2
21.122.4
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
8248
#16
19.71.6
12.814.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
blue by 13.5
2557
#15
33.21.2
21.222.4
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned