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Red117
307037.3
131862.5
457915.4
Blue151
417319.9
445038.0
204665.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10812580100120140160180117151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +9
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points29
20Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points50
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
12Processor points24
12Net points16
24Algae points40
81Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
117Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.8
57.758.5
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
blue by 2.6
2046
#14
65.12.1
67.269.2
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
Second
3070
#21
37.30.8
30.931.7
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
blue by 0.7
38.02.1
28.530.6
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Third
4579
#20
15.40.8
15.816.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
blue by 4.5
4173
#26
19.92.1
18.220.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned