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Red97
1049820.1
1042320.0
902357.4
Blue130
189933.3
290712.2
366361.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710820406010012014016018097130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+19
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
69Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
97Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.8
39.139.9
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
blue by 3.7
61.12.0
55.057.1
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
Second
20.10.8
20.421.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
blue by 13.3
1899
#18
33.32.0
28.530.6
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Third
20.00.8
25.926.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 7.8
2907
#27
12.23.4
15.919.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned