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Red99
36056.6
491548.0
83037.0
Blue42
298016.0
568320.4
292817.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1114501001502009942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
70Total teleop29
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
99Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
56.60.2
49.649.9
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
red by 36.2
5683
#22
20.40.7
14.914.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
Second
48.00.2
36.636.8
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
red by 30.4
2928
#30
17.70.7
15.414.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Third
8303
#33
7.00.2
9.49.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 9.0
2980
#32
16.00.7
21.620.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed