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Red133
378630.2
529511.0
321924.2
Blue86
368144.9
304913.0
357417.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685720408010012014013386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
Endgame+7
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
64Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
54Foul points0
133Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#25
30.21.2
24.025.2
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6
blue by 14.7
3681
#10
44.92.2
33.735.9
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
Second
3219
#12
24.21.2
20.021.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
red by 6.9
3574
#24
17.22.2
9.411.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Third
5295
#28
11.01.2
17.518.6
Auto2.3
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 2.0
3049
#35
13.02.2
10.012.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned