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Red120
204665.1
307037.3
48849.4
Blue202
418020.3
805133.8
2910105.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1551286080100120140180200220120202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+60
Endgame+82
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +19
6Leave0
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points42
23Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +41
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points70
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#10
12Processor points24
16Net points40
28Algae points64
93Total teleop134
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#7
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points0
120Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
65.12.2
69.267.0
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
blue by 40.0
105.14.9
79.484.3
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
Second
488
#17
49.42.2
46.944.7
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
red by 15.5
33.84.9
22.427.3
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
3070
#21
37.32.2
31.729.5
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
red by 17.1
4180
#13
20.34.9
20.725.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned