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Red138
417319.9
366361.1
241242.7
Blue92
290712.2
445038.0
824819.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1386005010015020013892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+48Teleop
+54Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
85Total teleop58
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#5
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#18
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
4Foul points12
138Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.5
57.157.6
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 23.1
38.00.6
30.631.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Second
2412
#19
42.70.5
43.343.9
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
red by 22.9
8248
#16
19.70.6
14.415.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Third
4173
#26
19.90.5
20.220.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 7.7
2907
#27
12.21.1
19.320.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned