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Red52
255733.2
129419.1
889619.3
Blue42
189933.3
1042320.0
457915.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538302040601001201405242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
36Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
52Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
33.20.0
22.422.4
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
blue by 0.2
1899
#18
33.32.1
30.628.4
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Second
8896
#29
19.30.0
13.113.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 0.8
20.02.1
26.724.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Third
1294
#11
19.10.0
17.117.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 3.7
4579
#20
15.42.1
16.714.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed