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Red144
902357.4
131862.5
358813.5
Blue38
1049820.1
38768.2
830230.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1303905010015020014438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +85
23Coral scored#4
81Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
105Total teleop20
Reef
10L4#2
6L3#1
5L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
144Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.52.0
58.560.6
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 32.0
30.50.7
16.115.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Second
57.42.0
39.941.9
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
red by 37.3
20.10.7
21.220.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
Third
3588
#36
13.52.0
14.916.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
red by 5.4
3876
#34
8.20.7
10.810.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed