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Red228
366361.1
2910105.1
131862.5
Blue145
889619.3
241242.7
902357.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2198750150200250300350228145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+61Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +44
21Coral scored#24
75Coral points87
4Processor algae#2
14Net algae#3
24Processor points12
56Net points12
80Algae points24
155Total teleop111
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
228Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.11.1
84.385.4
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 47.7
57.42.6
41.944.5
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
Second
62.51.1
60.661.7
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 19.9
2412
#19
42.72.6
43.946.4
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Third
61.11.1
57.658.7
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 41.9
8896
#29
19.32.6
13.115.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned