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Red38
1042320.0
368144.9
83037.0
Blue133
255733.2
830230.5
307037.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767105010015038133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+63
Endgame+75
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points18
9Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +51
5Coral scored#17
19Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
25Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#8
1L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points20
38Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#10
44.92.1
35.933.8
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
red by 7.6
3070
#21
37.33.0
29.532.6
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
Second
20.02.1
24.522.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 13.1
2557
#15
33.23.0
22.425.4
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
Third
8303
#33
7.02.1
9.77.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 23.5
30.53.0
15.518.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned