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Red94
805133.8
491548.0
129419.1
Blue71
445038.0
529511.0
357417.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93630501502009471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
94Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.9
37.238.1
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
red by 10.0
38.00.6
30.230.8
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Second
33.80.9
27.928.8
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 16.6
3574
#24
17.20.6
13.113.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Third
1294
#11
19.10.9
16.016.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 8.1
5295
#28
11.00.6
18.819.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed