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Red97
417319.9
36056.6
290712.2
Blue21
204665.1
38768.2
304913.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92934060801001209721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +66
14Coral scored#0
52Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
66Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#1
6L3#0
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
2Foul points8
97Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
56.60.6
51.452.0
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
blue by 8.5
2046
#14
65.14.7
63.058.3
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
Second
4173
#26
19.90.6
21.422.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 6.9
3049
#35
13.04.7
12.17.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
2907
#27
12.20.9
13.714.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
red by 4.0
3876
#34
8.24.7
8.33.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed