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Red92
131862.5
418020.3
824819.7
Blue131
321924.2
366361.1
48849.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105137608012016018092131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points32
23Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
53Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
92Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.7
61.760.9
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 1.4
61.10.0
58.758.7
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
Second
4180
#13
20.30.7
25.825.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 29.1
488
#17
49.40.0
44.944.9
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
Third
8248
#16
19.70.7
15.715.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
blue by 4.4
3219
#12
24.20.0
21.121.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned