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Red78
1042320.0
358813.5
241242.7
Blue95
902357.4
307037.3
83037.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9091506070801001101201307895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
59Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
78Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#19
42.70.4
46.446.0
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
blue by 14.8
57.40.7
44.545.2
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
Second
20.00.4
22.422.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 17.3
3070
#21
37.30.7
32.633.3
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
Third
3588
#36
13.50.4
15.214.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
red by 6.5
8303
#33
7.00.7
7.58.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed