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Red253
2910105.1
368144.9
255733.2
Blue47
457915.4
1049820.1
298016.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17043010015020025030025347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+33Auto
+172Teleop
+194Endgame
+206Fouls
AutonomousRed +33
6Leave0
8Coral scored#2
39Coral points12
45Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +139
35Coral scored#7
126Coral points25
5Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
30Processor points0
16Net points8
46Algae points8
172Total teleop33
Reef
19L4#4
10L3#2
9L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
52Game pieces#11
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +206
12Foul points0
253Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.15.8
85.491.3
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 85.0
20.11.1
18.717.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
Second
3681
#10
44.95.8
33.839.6
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
red by 28.9
2980
#32
16.01.1
22.521.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Third
2557
#15
33.25.8
25.431.3
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
red by 17.8
4579
#20
15.41.1
14.513.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed