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Red98
805133.8
48849.4
304913.0
Blue172
36056.6
129419.1
131862.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7714305010020098172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
78Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points30
98Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#17
49.41.1
44.946.0
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
blue by 13.2
62.50.8
60.961.8
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Second
33.81.1
28.829.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 22.8
360
#3
56.60.8
52.052.8
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Third
3049
#35
13.01.1
7.48.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 6.1
1294
#11
19.10.8
16.817.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned