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Red86
321924.2
1042320.0
357417.2
Blue64
241242.7
290712.2
38768.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597002040801001208664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+2
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
26Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
30Foul points6
86Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#12
24.20.2
21.120.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
blue by 18.5
2412
#19
42.70.6
46.045.4
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Second
20.00.2
22.021.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 7.8
2907
#27
12.21.0
14.613.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Third
3574
#24
17.20.2
13.713.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
red by 9.1
3876
#34
8.20.6
3.63.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed