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Red96
292817.7
445038.0
1049820.1
Blue53
307037.3
889619.3
358813.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67710501001509653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
74Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
96Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.02.1
30.832.9
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
red by 0.7
3070
#21
37.30.8
33.332.5
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
Second
20.12.1
17.619.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
red by 0.8
8896
#29
19.30.8
16.315.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
2928
#30
17.72.1
15.817.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 4.1
3588
#36
13.50.8
14.814.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed