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Red152
457915.4
902357.4
204665.1
Blue74
83037.0
357417.2
189933.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1443805010020015274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+80Teleop
+80Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
111Total teleop56
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#2
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points2
152Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
65.12.0
60.562.5
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
red by 31.8
1899
#18
33.31.5
29.931.4
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Second
57.42.0
47.949.9
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
red by 40.2
3574
#24
17.21.5
13.515.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Third
4579
#20
15.42.0
13.415.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
red by 8.4
8303
#33
7.01.5
5.97.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed