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Red106
83037.0
304913.0
366361.1
Blue136
368144.9
131862.5
805133.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68114050100150200106136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
62Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#6
2L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
106Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.12.4
52.955.3
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
blue by 1.4
62.52.2
53.455.6
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Second
3049
#35
13.02.4
8.310.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 31.9
3681
#10
44.92.2
29.531.7
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
Third
8303
#33
7.02.4
9.211.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 26.8
33.82.5
19.722.2
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned