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Red70
290712.2
830230.5
321924.2
Blue135
529511.0
36056.6
805133.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56112020408010012014016070135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+65
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
38Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points42
70Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.8
26.527.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End5.2
blue by 26.1
360
#3
56.60.4
52.752.4
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Second
3219
#12
24.20.8
19.920.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
blue by 9.7
33.80.4
31.931.6
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
2907
#27
12.21.1
11.312.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
red by 1.2
5295
#28
11.00.4
13.813.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned