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Red34
358813.5
292817.7
417319.9
Blue61
357417.2
255733.2
418020.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597720401001201403461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +12
4Coral scored#6
16Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
24Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
34Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4173
#26
19.91.6
24.322.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 13.3
2557
#15
33.21.0
32.531.5
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
Second
2928
#30
17.71.6
17.015.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
blue by 2.6
4180
#13
20.31.0
22.421.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Third
3588
#36
13.51.6
16.014.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
blue by 3.7
3574
#24
17.21.0
15.614.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed