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Red103
366361.1
457915.4
445038.0
Blue43
378630.2
1042320.0
304913.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13351010015020010343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
41Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
18Foul points0
103Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.11.9
61.459.5
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 30.9
3786
#25
30.21.1
28.527.4
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6
Second
38.01.9
35.934.0
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
red by 18.0
20.01.1
20.519.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Third
4579
#20
15.41.9
16.414.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
red by 2.4
3049
#35
13.01.1
9.98.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed