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Red115
189933.3
902357.4
568320.4
Blue143
131862.5
48849.4
241242.7
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9816450150200115143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
88Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#7
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points0
115Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.7
52.653.2
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
blue by 5.1
62.50.9
61.260.3
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Second
1899
#18
33.30.7
33.634.3
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
blue by 16.0
488
#17
49.40.9
47.146.3
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
Third
5683
#22
20.40.7
16.817.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
blue by 22.3
2412
#19
42.70.9
44.643.7
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed