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Red153
2910105.1
83037.0
38768.2
Blue89
298016.0
824819.7
204665.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221148010014016018015389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+62Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
29Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +41
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points47
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
30Processor points6
16Net points12
46Algae points18
106Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#7
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
2Foul points0
153Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.12.5
96.799.2
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 40.0
2046
#14
65.11.2
63.161.9
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
Second
3876
#34
8.22.5
4.16.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 11.6
8248
#16
19.71.2
20.118.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Third
8303
#33
7.02.5
7.49.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 9.0
2980
#32
16.01.2
19.318.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed