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Red104
129419.1
307037.3
368144.9
Blue78
491548.0
1049820.1
889619.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948505015020025010478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points17
25Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points2
104Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#10
44.91.0
41.142.1
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
blue by 3.1
48.00.4
45.144.7
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
Second
3070
#21
37.31.0
33.834.8
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
red by 17.3
20.10.4
20.119.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
Third
1294
#11
19.11.0
14.315.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 0.1
8896
#29
19.30.4
16.616.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed