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Red55
255733.2
457915.4
290712.2
Blue42
304913.0
417319.9
418020.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645402040801001201405542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+17Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#5
22Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
36Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
55Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
33.20.2
31.531.3
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
red by 12.9
4180
#13
20.30.7
21.420.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Second
4579
#20
15.40.2
14.514.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
blue by 4.5
4173
#26
19.90.7
22.722.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
2907
#27
12.20.3
12.412.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
blue by 0.8
3049
#35
13.00.7
8.98.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed