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Red62
292817.7
824819.7
1042320.0
Blue149
902357.4
805133.8
378630.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46126010015020062149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +50
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
40Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points6
62Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.5
19.420.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 37.4
57.42.1
53.255.3
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
Second
8248
#16
19.70.5
18.919.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
blue by 14.1
33.82.1
31.633.6
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
2928
#30
17.70.5
15.516.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
blue by 12.5
3786
#25
30.22.1
27.429.5
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned