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Red76
83037.0
204665.1
889619.3
Blue116
307037.3
1049820.1
36056.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311340608010012014076116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +39
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
58Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
76Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
65.10.8
61.961.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
red by 8.5
360
#3
56.60.6
52.453.0
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Second
8896
#29
19.30.8
16.215.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 18.1
3070
#21
37.30.6
34.835.4
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
Third
8303
#33
7.00.8
9.99.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 13.1
20.10.6
19.720.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed