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Red127
1049820.1
805133.8
366361.1
Blue13
529511.0
417319.9
83037.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1353405010015020012713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+84Teleop
+96Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
11Coral scored#0
40Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
60Total teleop0
Reef
7L4#1
5L3#0
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#1
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +114
18Foul points0
127Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.3
59.258.9
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 41.2
4173
#26
19.92.1
22.019.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
33.80.3
33.633.3
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 22.8
5295
#28
11.02.1
13.111.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Third
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End0.5
red by 13.1
8303
#33
7.02.1
9.17.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed