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Red53
418020.3
358813.5
298016.0
Blue115
36056.6
189933.3
824819.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46121010015020053115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +49
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points45
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
30Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
53Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#13
20.30.6
20.720.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 36.3
360
#3
56.60.5
53.052.5
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Second
2980
#32
16.00.6
16.716.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
blue by 17.3
1899
#18
33.30.5
33.032.5
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Third
3588
#36
13.50.6
14.213.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
blue by 6.2
8248
#16
19.70.5
19.418.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned