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Red142
131862.5
568320.4
491548.0
Blue72
129419.1
255733.2
307037.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139905010015020014272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+62Teleop
+74Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points15
44Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
18Processor points6
12Net points0
30Algae points6
80Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +70
2Foul points6
142Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.3
61.762.0
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 25.2
3070
#21
37.30.6
37.937.3
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
Second
48.00.3
47.247.5
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
red by 14.9
2557
#15
33.20.6
33.733.2
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
Third
5683
#22
20.40.3
19.619.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 1.3
1294
#11
19.10.6
19.719.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9