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Red193
2910105.1
889619.3
366361.1
Blue180
36056.6
304913.0
204665.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20412350100150250300193180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+17Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave6
11Coral scored#5
55Coral points27
55Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#25
70Coral points89
5Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
30Processor points12
12Net points16
42Algae points28
112Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#7
11L3#10
3L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +6
24Cage & park30
24Total endgame30
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
193Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.10.2
104.3104.5
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 40.0
2046
#14
65.11.2
61.963.2
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
Second
61.10.2
60.360.5
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 4.5
360
#3
56.61.2
53.454.6
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Third
8896
#29
19.30.2
18.518.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 6.2
3049
#35
13.01.2
9.911.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3