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Red136
131862.5
568320.4
491548.0
Blue117
902357.4
418020.3
48849.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513250100150200250136117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
30Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
80Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
136Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.1
62.062.1
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 5.1
57.40.2
57.657.4
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
Second
48.00.1
47.547.6
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
blue by 1.3
488
#17
49.40.2
49.649.4
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
Third
5683
#22
20.40.1
19.820.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 0.1
4180
#13
20.30.2
20.520.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6