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Red170
36056.6
304913.0
204665.1
Blue148
131862.5
568320.4
491548.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135135130140150160170170148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
22Coral scored#20
78Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
114Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#9
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
170Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
65.10.9
63.264.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
red by 2.6
62.50.4
62.162.5
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Second
360
#3
56.60.9
54.655.6
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
red by 8.6
48.00.4
47.648.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
Third
3049
#35
13.00.9
11.112.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 7.3
5683
#22
20.40.4
20.020.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0