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Red136
36056.6
304913.0
204665.1
Blue76
805133.8
321924.2
368144.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331045015020013676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+62Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
88Total teleop54
Reef
11L4#4
8L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
136Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
65.10.3
61.061.3
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
red by 20.2
3681
#10
44.90.6
44.443.9
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
Second
360
#3
56.60.3
52.552.8
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
red by 22.8
33.80.6
33.332.8
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
3049
#35
13.00.3
8.99.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 11.1
3219
#12
24.20.6
23.723.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0