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Red159
131862.5
568320.4
491548.0
Blue133
445038.0
378630.2
241242.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511350100150200159133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
21Coral scored#23
74Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
106Total teleop110
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
159Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.7
61.261.9
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 19.9
2412
#19
42.70.5
42.342.8
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Second
48.00.7
46.747.4
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End4.3
red by 10.0
38.00.5
37.638.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Third
5683
#22
20.40.7
19.019.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End1.0
blue by 9.8
3786
#25
30.20.5
29.830.4
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6