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Red127
129419.1
255733.2
307037.3
Blue106
824819.7
189933.3
292817.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986950150127106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+31Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
21Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +39
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
18Processor points6
32Net points16
50Algae points22
100Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
127Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#21
37.30.9
37.037.9
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
red by 4.0
1899
#18
33.30.8
32.633.3
Auto6.2
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Second
2557
#15
33.20.9
32.933.7
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End2.4
red by 13.5
8248
#16
19.70.8
18.919.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Third
1294
#11
19.10.9
18.819.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 1.4
2928
#30
17.70.8
16.917.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3