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Red130
805133.8
321924.2
368144.9
Blue105
445038.0
378630.2
241242.7
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041206080140160180130105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
75Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#5
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
130Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#10
44.90.5
43.944.4
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
red by 2.3
2412
#19
42.70.1
42.842.7
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Second
33.80.5
32.833.3
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 4.2
38.00.1
38.138.0
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
Third
3219
#12
24.20.5
23.123.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
blue by 6.1
3786
#25
30.20.1
30.430.2
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6