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Red206
2910105.1
366361.1
889619.3
Blue154
902357.4
418020.3
48849.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203123100150250300206154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave0
11Coral scored#7
53Coral points37
59Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +26
27Coral scored#21
97Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
133Total teleop107
Reef
12L4#11
15L3#8
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points6
206Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.10.5
103.7104.3
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 47.7
57.40.5
57.157.6
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
Second
61.10.5
59.860.3
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 11.8
488
#17
49.40.5
49.049.5
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
Third
8896
#29
19.30.5
17.918.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 1.0
4180
#13
20.30.5
20.020.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6