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Red112
36059.9
999914.4
762730.5
Blue81
297618.2
293058.2
49257.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12618305010015020025030035011281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+45Teleop
+43Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points18
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
24Processor points6
16Net points12
40Algae points18
81Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points18
112Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
59.90.6
55.655.0
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
red by 1.7
2930
#15
58.26.5
75.468.8
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
Second
7627
#29
30.50.6
41.040.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
blue by 26.6
492
#16
57.26.5
50.043.5
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
Third
9999
#25
14.41.0
15.314.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
blue by 3.8
2976
#36
18.26.5
32.926.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsMissed