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Red240
291098.5
413140.6
945076.9
Blue67
94911.4
368137.7
198331.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2757505010015020025030035040024067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+127Teleop
+137Endgame
+173Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave9
10Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +85
23Coral scored#8
81Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
127Total teleop42
Reef
15L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +173
36Foul points0
240Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.51.1
97.396.3
Auto27.9
Teleop61.9
End8.8
red by 60.9
3681
#13
37.71.6
39.838.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Second
76.91.1
70.469.3
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
red by 45.5
1983
#27
31.41.6
29.527.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
4131
#10
40.61.1
43.642.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
red by 29.2
949
#32
11.41.6
13.411.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned