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Red143
255744.5
321845.3
366377.3
Blue59
1007928.8
292812.2
997326.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2306805010015020025030035014359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+86Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +62
21Coral scored#8
75Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
99Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#3
9L3#2
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
143Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.33.3
76.473.0
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
red by 48.5
28.82.2
50.748.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.0
End2.0
Second
3218
#18
45.33.4
54.451.1
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
red by 19.1
9973
#14
26.23.6
14.410.8
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
Third
44.53.4
53.850.5
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
red by 32.3
2928
#35
12.22.2
18.216.1
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned