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Red130
212262.9
408937.8
255744.5
Blue121
999840.4
299030.6
321845.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17482050100150200250300130121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+7
+17Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
74Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#10
7L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points8
130Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.91.6
57.355.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 17.7
3218
#18
45.30.8
51.151.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
Second
44.51.6
50.548.9
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
red by 4.0
9998
#20
40.41.3
19.420.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
Third
4089
#30
37.81.6
37.035.4
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
red by 7.1
2990
#21
30.60.8
24.725.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed