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Red136
131850.0
94911.4
366377.3
Blue74
999914.4
999840.4
639033.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1913505010015025030013674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
64Total teleop34
Reef
11L4#3
5L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
12Foul points6
136Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.31.5
73.071.5
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
red by 36.8
9998
#20
40.40.6
20.721.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
Second
50.01.5
61.960.4
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3
red by 16.4
6390
#22
33.60.3
28.028.3
Auto8.3
Teleop24.8
End0.4
Third
949
#32
11.41.5
11.910.3
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 2.9
9999
#25
14.40.6
14.414.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed