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Red159
762730.5
746118.9
945076.9
Blue202
307042.1
212262.9
902372.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14417550100200250159202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
5Coral scored#8
25Coral points41
34Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +33
23Coral scored#27
81Coral points96
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
109Total teleop142
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#10
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
159Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.91.0
69.370.4
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
red by 4.8
72.12.1
67.569.6
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
Second
7627
#29
30.51.0
40.441.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
blue by 32.4
62.92.1
55.857.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Third
7461
#28
18.91.0
22.523.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End0.1
blue by 23.2
3070
#17
42.12.1
36.438.4
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned